Ayano Shimizu vs Mingge Xu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Shimizu and Xu's upcoming match promises to be a thrilling contest, with various statistical measures offering insight into their potential performance. In the past six months, Shimizu has won 42.2% of points on their second serve, a figure closely matched by Xu's 42.58%. These statistics are crucial in predicting outcomes, as a high correlation exists between second serve performance and match results.

Examining return game statistics, Shimizu has dominated with a 51.85% success rate on opponents' second serve points, a significant edge over Xu's 44.93%. On the first serve returns, Shimizu maintains an advantage with 34.84% compared to Xu's 29.53%. These figures are vital in head-to-head comparisons, helping identify the favored player more accurately.

When under pressure, Xu boasts a higher breakpoint saving percentage of 50.0% versus Shimizu's 39.6%. This ability influences in-game betting strategies by providing insights into a player's resilience. Over the past year, Xu has a superior win percentage, claiming victory in 67.57% of matches (25/12), while Shimizu has won 57.38% (35/26).

Surface performance reveals Shimizu's strength on clay with a career win rate of 63% (31/18) but shows a lesser performance on hard courts at 53% (136/122). In contrast, Xu excels on hard courts with a 69% win rate (24/11), though struggles on grass with only 14% (1/6).

At the tournament level, Xu's proficiency is more pronounced in Challengers/ITF events over $10K, with a win rate of 70% (21/9), compared to Shimizu's 58.49% (31/22). Notably, Shimizu has faced higher-ranked opponents on average (rank 298.56) than Xu (353.08) in the last year, potentially impacting Xu's performance metrics.

In deciding sets over the past year, Xu has demonstrated greater success, securing 67% of these crucial sets, while Shimizu has won 47%. This statistic is pivotal for live predictions if the match extends to its last moments.

Lastly, Shimizu's 43.85% breakpoint conversion rate outpaces Xu's 38.2%, offering key insights into who holds the advantage in critical matchpoints. Given these comprehensive statistics, Xu appears to hold a slight edge as the favorite to win this match, though it remains a closely contested battle.